The claim that Ukrainian agricultural exports will completely cease is untrue. Despite weather risks, Ukraine maintains a high harvest, and it remains one of the key agricultural exporters to European countries.
Users on social networks, as well as Russian news resources, are spreading the news that Ukraine will have nothing to export to the EU in 2025 due to a total crop failure.
«According to expert forecasts, in two to three years Ukraine will import agricultural products from Russia to its market in order to feed at least its people», propaganda writes.
Russia occasionally spreads such disinformation narratives, aiming to sow doubts about the stability of the Ukrainian economy and undermine confidence in its agricultural sector.
Yet these statements about this year’s harvest and the level of agricultural exports to the EU do not correspond to reality. Thus, even according to the most pessimistic initial estimate of Ukraine’s Ministry of Agricultural Policy, the gross grain harvest in 2025 could decrease by 10% compared to 2024, to 51 million tons against 56.7 million tons last year. But already in July 2025, this forecast was improved. «We see a conditional 54.5-53.5 million tons for grain. This can be 5% more or less», said Taras Vysotsky, First Deputy Minister of Agricultural Policy and Food.
The projected harvest volume for Ukraine is sufficient both for its own consumption and for the formation of export potential, reports the Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation.
As for Ukraine’s agricultural exports to EU countries, according to the relevant Ukrainian ministry, as of 2025, 52% of Ukraine’s agricultural exports will go to EU countries (comparing to only 29% before the full-scale invasion), 14% to the Middle East, 10% to African countries, and another 9% to Asian countries. New conditions for Ukraine’s exports to the EU are also being approved now, since the preferential regime (the so-called «trade visa-free») for Ukrainian exporters was abolished in June 2025. In any case, it is extremely wrong to claim that Ukrainian agricultural exports are absent or declining, especially to European countries.
Earlier, StopFake refuted the claim that Kyiv and the European Union allegedly worsened the situation of farmers in the Kherson region.
