The Black Swan and information
The stalemate on the front lines, but also the incomprehensible actions of Western allies, foster belief in the possibility of resolving the conflict as...
Fake: Russia Targets Industrial Facility in Chernihiv With Ballistic Missile
Russia carried out a missile strike in Ukraine’s Chernihiv region on September 4, 2025, but the target was not an industrial facility or a...
Fog of War: Defeat and Victory
Decisive outcomes on the battlefield are rare; what comes next matters more.
By Edward Lucas, for CEPA
In war, argued Carl von Clausewitz, “the result is never...
How TikTok became the Kremlin’s mouthpiece
I admit it freely: I am still not a TikTok user. I belong to the boomer generation, for whom the world of 15-second videos,...
Putin–Zelenskyy Meeting Is Impossible, Say Russia’s Propagandists
Russia propagandists were in a lather of excitement during and after the Alaska summit. The mood has changed.
By Julia Davis, for CEPA
Russian state media have...
Fake: SBU Investigation Finds No Evidence of Russian Involvement in Andriy Parubiy’s Murder
Contrary to some online narratives, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) indicated in an official statement that Russian intelligence services could have played a...
Fake: Andriy Parubiy Behind Maidan Shootings, Odessa Trade Union Arson, and Ukraine Coup
Kremlin outlets have amplified claims tying former parliamentary speaker Andriy Parubiy to the Maidan shootings, the May 2014 Odessa fire, and an alleged coup...
Fake: Ukraine Bans Hasidic Pilgrimage to Uman
Ukrainian officials have made no move to block the annual Hasidic pilgrimage to Uman, despite claims circulating on social media and pro-Russian outlets. The...
How “realism” became synonymous with capitulation
The summer of 2025 will go down in history as the moment when the foundations of Western security architecture—concepts such as “democracy,” “freedom,” and...
Manipulation: Ukraine Wants to Change Regional Borders in Order to «Not Give Up Donbas»
The bill concerns exclusively the internal optimization of administrative management and is related to the provision of social and financial guarantees for residents of...